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Daniel Bird

Daniel Bird

Private Credit & Distressed Investing Expert, 25+ Years in Global Markets

Finance
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Daniel Bird Podcast Episodes

Street Smart Success

Street Smart Success

686: There’s A Lot Of Talk About A Private Credit Bubble

February 17, 2026

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About this episode

Many think Private Credit has elevated risks, but the economy is strong and borrowers have healthy balance sheets. One of the least hyped but most interesting areas of credit are special situations and distressed debt. The potential for alpha, mid-teen returns is significant, but it requires precision. Distressed debt requires understanding legal frameworks, financial health, and industry landscapes. Dan Bird, founder of Thornwood Hill LLP, specializes in credit and alternative asset management. Dan has a proven track record in direct lending, special opportunities, and distressed debt, generating strong returns for his clients. Dan identifies strategic investment opportunities with optimal risk management.

Daniel Bird Podcast Episodes

State of the Markets

#237 Daniel Bird - Investing in Special Opportunities

State of the Markets

Mar 2026

Invest in You

Finding Value in Distressed Markets with Daniel Byrd

Invest in You

Jan 2026

INVESTOLOGY: re-think investment management

Finding Alpha in Distressed Debt | Dan Bird - EMEA Credit and Special Situations

INVESTOLOGY: re-think investment management

Dec 2025

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Latest video

The Art of Distressed Debt and Special Situations

The Art of Distressed Debt and Special Situations

Latest episodes

State of the Markets

#237 Daniel Bird - Investing in Special Opportunities

State of the Markets

Invest in You

Finding Value in Distressed Markets with Daniel Byrd

Invest in You

INVESTOLOGY: re-think investment management

Finding Alpha in Distressed Debt | Dan Bird - EMEA Credit and Special Situations

INVESTOLOGY: re-think investment management

View all episodes →

Key topics

Why an in-house investing sleeve gives families the flexibility funds can’t

Lockups and crowded fund trades limit a family’s ability to respond when markets shift or opportunities appear. Relying entirely on external managers creates blind spots in liquidity, pacing, and deal choice. Daniel has seen how even a measured internal allocation - not a full-scale platform, but a sleeve that sits alongside existing managers - can restore flexibility. It allows families to generate cash flow on their terms, pursue overlooked opportunities, and maintain oversight without losing the benefits of trusted external relationships.

Why Credit Cycles Reveal Market Stress Before Stocks React

When credit tightens, refinancing windows narrow, and defaults inch up, the real economy starts flashing signals long before equity indices wobble. Daniel Bird has spent three decades decoding those early warnings across liquid credit, private debt, and distressed workouts—from structuring billion-dollar deals at Merrill Lynch to steering portfolios at Hayfin. He shows investors, boards, and founders how shifts in lending standards, spreads, and covenant strength reveal where risk is building and opportunity is quietly emerging. Rather than chase stock sentiment, Daniel translates credit data into clear insights on timing, liquidity, and discipline—helping decision-makers stay ahead of market turns instead of reacting to them.

Why Most Portfolios Fail to Balance Liquidity and Long-Horizon Deals

In theory, liquidity and long-term investing should complement each other. In practice, they often collide. Daniel Bird has seen it firsthand—running liquid trading desks as a bank MD and managing multi-year private credit portfolios. He exposes why most “balanced” portfolios break down: governance gaps, misplaced hedges, and blurred strategy between teams chasing yield on different timelines. Daniel shows how to reconnect public and private playbooks under one disciplined framework, where speed doesn’t kill patience and each return driver earns its place. For family offices, pensions, and founders, his approach turns portfolio balance from a spreadsheet ideal into an investable reality.

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